Posted on

Playoff Pre-play: 2023 basketball playoffs

The first spring postseason gets underway tonight–in fact, it’s going on right now–and with it comes a long series of pro playoffs to take us right into summer.

Technically, only the “play-in tournament” starts tonight, which appears to be considered by the league as wholly separate from the main playoff tournament. But for the sake of this post, we’ll call it all the same.

And with this new playoffs comes the first official playoff pre-play in Short Season Games’s short history. This pre-played tournament, which I rolled over the past 24 hours, saw some major upsets, some surprising finishes, an overtime game 7 thriller to upset the 1 seed in the West conference semifinals, and a team coming back from a 3-0 deficit to win in the East Finals. So without further ado, I’d like to present to you how the 2023 pro basketball playoffs shook out in the Simple Seasons Universe.

Play-in Games

East
#7 Miami 117, #8 Atlanta 104 (MIA confirms #7 seed)
#9 Toronto 122, #10 Chicago 115 (TOR advances)
#8 Atlanta 128, #9 Toronto 109 (ATL confirms #8 seed)

West
#8 Minnesota 117, #7 Los Angeles (L) 113 (MIN becomes #7)
#9 New Orleans 114, #10 Oklahoma City 109 (NO advances)
#7 Los Angeles (L) 122, #9 New Orleans 112 (LAL becomes #8)

First Round

East
#8 Atlanta def. #1 Milwaukee, 4-2
#2 Boston def. #7 Miami, 4-0
#6 Brooklyn def. #3 Philadelphia, 4-2
#4 Cleveland def. #5 New York, 4-2

West
#1 Denver def. #8 Los Angeles (L), 4-2
#2 Memphis def. #7 Minnesota, 4-3
#3 Sacramento def. #6 Golden State, 4-2
#4 Phoenix def. #5 Los Angeles (C), 4-3

Conference Semifinals

East
#6 Brooklyn def. #2 Boston, 4-2
#4 Cleveland def. #8 Atlanta, 4-1

West
#4 Phoenix def. #1 Denver, 4-3
#2 Memphis def. #3 Sacramento, 4-3

Conference Finals

East: #6 Brooklyn def. #4 Cleveland, 4-3
West: #2 Memphis def. #4 Phoenix, 4-3

League Finals

Memphis def. Brooklyn, 4-3

See the whole playoffs, including scores, here.

Now to celebrate the fact that basketball playoffs have arrived, not only am I offering 15% off basketball games for the duration of the playoffs, but I’m also introducing a new Playoff Edition of the current season. I’ll explain more in another post, but this will look slightly different than a typical season set.

Also, for every series that Simple Seasons Basketball predicted during this playoffs, I’ll mark everything on the site down 5%. So if I’ve predicted 10 series correctly (just winner, not the series length), I’ll mark things down 50%. Everyone wins!

So for now, use code BBKPLAYOFFS for 15% all basketball items in the store, and enjoy the postseason!

(By the way, men’s pro hockey playoffs are right around the corner! Keep an eye out for another pre-play coming soon.)

Posted on

Pre-playing with a working prototype

One of my current projects is to figure out how to adapt football to the Simple Seasons format, which has been trickier than anticipated. Most other sports have a fairly limited range of scores: hockey (typically 0-6), soccer (typically 0-4), even basketball (drop the ones digit and most teams range from 8-12). But football has been tough because of the wide range, plus the different point values assigned to scores.

Now I’ve finally got a working prototype I like, and to test it out, I’ve simulated the upcoming Super Bowl. I started with 10 sims on paper; Kansas City won 6 of them by an average of 9.8 points. And that’s all well and good.

But to really kick things up a notch, I decided to test it on the computer with 5,000 sims. And the results were similar: Kansas City won 50.4% of the matchups in regulation, with 5.1% going to overtime. On average, the score ended up being roughly KC 27, Philadelphia 26, which really isn’t something I’d bet on.

Next up for the future Simple Seasons Football, I need to do some tweaking and work out a full season. But if the score of the game this weekend *does* end up being 27-26, I’ll post the game as-is right then and there.

And stay tuned tomorrow for a different type of football! I’ll be posting Simple Seasons Soccer along with the 2021-2022 EPL and 2022 MLS and NWSL seasons.